Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://repository.monashhealth.org/monashhealthjspui/handle/1/27384
Title: Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: An analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016.
Authors: Soljak M.;Sykes B.L.;Sylte D.O.;Szoeke C.E.I.;Tabares-Seisdedos R.;Tadakamadla S.K.;Tandon N.;Tao T.;Tarekegn Y.L.;Tavakkoli M.;Taveira N.;Tegegne T.K.;Shifa G.T.;Terkawi A.S.;Tessema G.A.;Thakur J.S.;Thankappan K.R.;Tiruye T.Y.;Tobe-Gai R.;Topor-Madry R.;Torre A.;Tortajada M.;Tran B.X.;Troeger C.;Truelsen T.;Tsoi D.;Tuem K.B.;Tuzcu E.M.;Tyrovolas S.;Ukwaja K.N.;Uneke C.J.;Updike R.;Uthman O.A.;Van Boven J.F.M.;Van Donkelaar A.;Varughese S.;Vasankari T.;Venketasubramanian N.;Vidavalur R.;Violante F.S.;Vladimirov S.K.;Vlassov V.V.;Vollset S.E.;Vos T.;Wadilo F.;Wakayo T.;Wallin M.T.;Wang Y.-P.;Weichenthal S.;Weiderpass E.;Weintraub R.G.;Weiss D.J.;Werdecker A.;Westerman R.;Whiteford H.A.;Wijeratne T.;Wiysonge C.S.;Woldeyes B.G.;Wolfe C.D.A.;Woodbrook R.;Xavier D.;Xu G.;Yadgir S.;Yakob B.;Yan L.L.;Yano Y.;Yaseri M.;Ye P.;Yimam H.H.;Yip P.;Yonemoto N.;Yoon S.-J.;Yotebieng M.;Younis M.Z.;Zaidi Z.;El Sayed Zaki M.;Zavala-Arciniega L.;Zhang X.;Zipkin B.;Zodpey S.;Lim S.S.;Murray C.J.L.;De Courten B. ;Thrift A.G. ;Fullman N.;Barber R.M.;Abajobir A.A.;Abate K.H.;Abbafati C.;Abbas K.M.;Abd-Allah F.;Abdulle A.M.;Abera S.F.;Aboyans V.;Abu-Raddad L.J.;Abu-Rmeileh N.M.E.;Adedeji I.A.;Adetokunboh O.;Afshin A.;Agrawal A.;Agrawal S.;Kiadaliri A.A.;Ahmadieh H.;Ahmed M.B.;Aichour A.N.;Aichour I.;Aichour M.T.E.;Aiyar S.;Akinyemi R.O.;Akseer N.;Al-Aly Z.;Alam K.;Alam N.;Alasfoor D.;Alene K.A.;Alizadeh-Navaei R.;Alkerwi A.;Alla F.;Allebeck P.;Allen C.;Al-Raddadi R.;Alsharif U.;Altirkawi K.A.;Alvis-Guzman N.;Amare A.T.;Amini E.;Ammar W.;Antonio C.A.T.;Ansari H.;Anwari P.;Arora M.;Artaman A.;Aryal K.K.;Asayesh H.;Asgedom S.W.;Assadi R.;Atey T.M.;Atre S.R.;Avila-Burgos L.;Arthur Avokpaho E.F.G.;Awasthi A.;Azzopardi P.;Bacha U.;Badawi A.;Balakrishnan K.;Bannick M.S.;Barac A.;Barker-Collo S.L.;Barnighausen T.;Barrero L.H.;Basu S.;Battle K.E.;Baune B.T.;Beardsley J.;Bedi N.;Beghi E.;Bejot Y.;Bell M.L.;Bennett D.A.;Bennett J.R.;Bensenor I.M.;Berhane A.;Berhe D.F.;Bernabe E.;Betsu B.D.;Beuran M.;Beyene A.S.;Bhala N.;Bhansali A.;Bhatt S.;Bhutta Z.A.;Bikbov B.;Bilal A.I.;Birungi C.;Biryukov S.;Bizuayehu H.M.;Blosser C.D.;Boneya D.J.;Bose D.;Bou-Orm I.R.;Brauer M.;Breitborde N.J.K.;Brugha T.S.;Bulto L.N.B.;Butt Z.A.;Cahuana-Hurtado L.;Cameron E.;Campuzano J.C.;Carabin H.;Cardenas R.;Carrero J.J.;Carter A.;Casey D.C.;Castaneda-Orjuela C.A.;Rivas J.C.;Castro R.E.;Catala-Lopez F.;Cercy K.;Chang H.-Y.;Chang J.-C.;Charlson F.J.;Chew A.;Chisumpa V.H.;Chitheer A.A.;Christensen H.;Christopher D.J.;Cirillo M.;Cooper C.;Criqui M.H.;Cromwell E.A.;Crump J.A.;Dandona L.;Dandona R.;Dargan P.I.;Das Neves J.;Davitoiu D.V.;De Steur H.;Degenhardt L.;Deiparine S.;Deribe K.;DeVeber G.A.;Ding E.L.;Djalalinia S.;Do H.P.;Dokova K.;Doku D.T.;Dorsey E.R.;Driscoll T.R.;Dubey M.;Duncan B.B.;Ebel B.E.;Ebrahimi H.;El-Khatib Z.Z.;Enayati A.;Endries A.Y.;Ermakov S.P.;Erskine H.E.;Eshrati B.;Eskandarieh S.;Esteghamati A.;Estep K.;Faraon E.J.A.;Sofia E Sa Farinha C.;Faro A.;Farzadfar F.;Fazeli M.S.;Feigin V.L.;Feigl A.B.;Fereshtehnejad S.-M.;Fernandes J.C.;Ferrari A.J.;Feyissa T.R.;Filip I.;Fischer F.;Fitzmaurice C.;Flaxman A.D.;Foigt N.;Foreman K.J.;Frank T.;Franklin R.C.;Friedman J.;Frostad J.J.;Furst T.;Furtado J.M.;Gakidou E.;Garcia-Basteiro A.L.;Gebrehiwot T.T.;Geleijnse J.M.;Geleto A.;Gemechu B.L.;Gething P.W.;Gibney K.B.;Gill P.S.;Gillum R.F.;Giref A.Z.;Gishu M.D.;Giussani G.;Glenn S.D.;Godwin W.W.;Goldberg E.M.;Gona P.N.;Goodridge A.;Gopalani S.V.;Goryakin Y.;Griswold M.;Gugnani H.C.;Gupta R.;Gupta T.;Gupta V.;Hafezi-Nejad N.;Bidgoli H.H.;Hailu G.B.;Hamadeh R.R.;Hammami M.;Hankey G.J.;Harb H.L.;Hareri H.A.;Hassanvand M.S.;Havmoeller R.;Hawley C.;Hay S.I.;He J.;Hendrie D.;Henry N.J.;Heredia-Pi I.B.;Hoek H.W.;Holmberg M.;Horita N.;Hosgood H.D.;Hostiuc S.;Hoy D.G.;Hsairi M.;Htet A.S.;Huang H.;Huang J.J.;Huynh C.;Iburg K.M.;Ikeda C.;Inoue M.;Irvine C.M.S.;Jacobsen K.H.;Jahanmehr N.;Jakovljevic M.B.;Jauregui A.;Javanbakht M.;Jeemon P.;Jha V.;John D.;Johnson C.O.;Johnson S.C.;Jonas J.B.;Jurisson M.;Kabir Z.;Kadel R.;Kahsay A.;Kamal R.;Karch A.;Karema C.K.;Kasaeian A.;Kassebaum N.J.;Kastor A.;Katikireddi S.V.;Kawakami N.;Keiyoro P.N.;Kelbore S.G.;Kemmer L.;Kengne A.P.;Kesavachandran C.N.;Khader Y.S.;Khalil I.A.;Khan E.A.;Khang Y.-H.;Khosravi A.;Khubchandani J.;Kieling C.;Kim D.;Kim J.Y.;Kim Y.J.;Kimokoti R.W.;Kinfu Y.;Kisa A.;Kissimova-Skarbek K.A.;Kivimaki M.;Kokubo Y.;Kopec J.A.;Kosen S.;Koul P.A.;Koyanagi A.;Kravchenko M.;Krohn K.J.;Defo B.K.;Bicer B.K.;Kulikoff X.R.;Kumar G.A.;Kutz M.J.;Kyu H.H.;Lal D.K.;Lalloo R.;Lansingh V.C.;Larsson A.;Lazarus J.V.;Lee P.H.;Leigh J.;Leung J.;Leung R.;Levi M.;Li Y.;Liben M.L.;Linn S.;Liu P.Y.;Liu S.;Lodha R.;Looker K.J.;Lopez A.D.;Lorkowski S.;Lotufo P.A.;Lozano R.;Lucas T.C.D.;Lunevicius R.;Mackay M.T.;Maddison E.R.;El Razek H.M.A.;El Razek M.M.A.;Majdan M.;Majdzadeh R.;Majeed A.;Malekzadeh R.;Malhotra R.;Malta D.C.;Mamun A.A.;Manguerra H.;Mantovani L.G.;Manyazewal T.;Mapoma C.C.;Marks G.B.;Martin R.V.;Martinez-Raga J.;Martins-Melo F.R.;Martopullo I.;Mathur M.R.;Mazidi M.;McAlinden C.;McGaughey M.;McGrath J.J.;McKee M.;Mehata S.;Mehndiratta M.M.;Meier T.;Meles K.G.;Memish Z.A.;Mendoza W.;Mengesha M.M.;Mengistie M.A.;Mensah G.A.;Mensink G.B.M.;Mereta S.T.;Meretoja A.;Meretoja T.J.;Mezgebe H.B.;Micha R.;Millear A.;Miller T.R.;Minnig S.;Mirarefin M.;Mirrakhimov E.M.;Misganaw A.;Mishra S.R.;Mitchell P.B.;Mohammad K.A.;Mohammed K.E.;Mohammed S.;Mohan M.B.V.;Mokdad A.H.;Mollenkopf S.K.;Monasta L.;Hernandez J.C.M.;Montico M.;Moradi-Lakeh M.;Moraga P.;Morawska L.;Morrison S.D.;Moses M.W.;Mountjoy-Venning C.;Mueller U.O.;Muller K.;Murthy G.V.S.;Musa K.I.;Naghavi M.;Naheed A.;Naidoo K.S.;Nangia V.;Natarajan G.;Negoi I.;Negoi R.I.;Nguyen C.T.;Nguyen G.;Nguyen M.;Nguyen Q.L.;Nguyen T.H.;Nichols E.;Ningrum D.N.A.;Nomura M.;Nong V.M.;Norheim O.F.;Noubiap J.J.N.;Obermeyer C.M.;Ogbo F.A.;Oh I.-H.;Oladimeji O.;Olagunju A.T.;Olagunju T.O.;Olivares P.R.;Olsen H.E.;Olusanya B.O.;Olusanya J.O.;Ong K.;Oren E.;Ortiz A.;Owolabi M.O.;Mahesh P.A.;Pana A.;Panda B.K.;Panda-Jonas S.;Papachristou C.;Park E.-K.;Patton G.C.;Paulson K.;Pereira D.M.;Perico D.N.;Pesudovs K.;Petzold M.;Phillips M.R.;Pigott D.M.;Pillay J.D.;Pinho C.;Piradov M.A.;Pishgar F.;Poulton R.G.;Pourmalek F.;Qorbani M.;Radfar A.;Rafay A.;Rao P.C.;Rahimi-Movaghar V.;Rahman M.;Ur Rahman M.H.;Rahman M.A.;Rai R.K.;Rajsic S.;Ram U.;Ranabhat C.L.;Rawaf S.;Reidy P.;Reiner R.C.;Reinig N.;Reitsma M.B.;Remuzzi G.;Renzaho A.M.N.;Resnikoff S.;Rezaei S.;Blancas M.J.R.;Roba K.T.;Rojas-Rueda D.;Rokni M.B.;Roshandel G.;Roth G.A.;Roy A.;Rubagotti E.;Sadat N.;Safdarian M.;Safi S.;Safiri S.;Sagar R.;Salama J.;Salomon J.A.;Samy A.M.;Sanabria J.R.;Santomauro D.;Santos I.S.;Santos J.V.;Santric Milicevic M.M.;Sartorius B.;Satpathy M.;Sawhney M.;Saxena S.;Saylan M.I.;Shirude S.;Schmidt M.I.;Schneider I.J.C.;Schneider M.T.;Schottker B.;Schutte A.E.;Schwebel D.C.;Schwendicke F.;Seedat S.;Sepanlou S.G.;Servan-Mori E.E.;Shackelford K.A.;Shaheen A.;Shahraz S.;Shaikh M.A.;Shamsipour M.;Shamsizadeh M.;Islam S.M.S.;Sharma J.;Sharma R.;She J.;Shi P.;Shibuya K.;Shields C.;Shiferaw M.S.;Shigematsu M.;Shin M.-J.;Shiri R.;Shirkoohi R.;Shishani K.;Shoman H.;Shrime M.G.;Silberberg D.H.;Silva D.A.S.;Silva J.P.;Silveira D.G.A.;Singh J.A.;Singh V.;Sinha D.N.;Skiadaresi E.;Slepak E.L.;Sligar A.;Smith A.;Smith D.L.;Smith M.;Sobaih B.H.A.;Sobngwi E.;Soneji S.;Sorensen R.J.D.;Sposato L.A.;Sreeramareddy C.T.;Srinivasan V.;Stanaway J.D.;Stein D.J.;Steiner C.;Steinke S.;Stokes M.A.;Strub B.;Sufiyan M.B.;Abdulkader R.S.;Sunguya B.F.;Sur P.J.;Swaminathan S.
Institution: (Fullman, Barber, Afshin, Aiyar, Allen, Arora, Bannick, Bennett, Biryukov, Brauer, Carter, Casey, Cercy, Charlson, Chew, Cromwell, Dandona, Dandona, Degenhardt, Deiparine, Erskine, Estep, Ferrari, Fitzmaurice, Flaxman, Foreman, Frank, Friedman, Frostad, Gakidou, Glenn, Godwin, Goldberg, Griswold, Hawley, Hay, He, Henry, Holmberg, Huynh, Ikeda, Irvine, Johnson, Johnson, Kassebaum, Kemmer, Khalil, Kim, Krohn, Kulikoff, Kutz, Kyu, Liu, Lozano, Maddison, Manguerra, Martopullo, McGaughey, Millear, Minnig, Mirarefin, Misganaw, Mokdad, Mollenkopf, Moses, Mountjoy-Venning, Muller, Naghavi, Nguyen, Nguyen, Nichols, Olsen, Ong, Paulson, Pigott, Pinho, Rao, Reidy, Reiner, Reinig, Reitsma, Roth, Sadat, Salama, Santomauro, Shirude, Schneider, Shackelford, Shields, Slepak, Sligar, Smith, Smith, Smith, Sorensen, Srinivasan, Stanaway, Steiner, Strub, Sur, Sylte, Tao, Torre, Troeger, Tsoi, Updike, Vollset, Vos, Whiteford, Woodbrook, Yadgir, Zipkin, Lim, Murray) Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, United States (Ebel) Harborview Injury Prevention and Research Center, United States (Fitzmaurice) Division of Hematology, Department of Medicine, United States (Jakovljevic) Center for Health Trends and Forecasts, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, United States (Blosser, Leung, Morrison) University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States (Whiteford) School of Public Health, Australia (Abajobir, Charlson, Erskine, Ferrari, Lalloo, Leung, Santomauro) School of Dentistry, Australia (Mishra) University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia (Ahmed) Department of Epidemiology, College of Health Sciences, United States (Abate, Gebrehiwot, Mengistie, Mereta, Wakayo) Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia (Abbafati) La Sapienza University, Rome, Italy (Abbas) Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, United States (Abd-Allah) Department of Neurology, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt (Abdulle) New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (Abera, Meles) School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, United States (Berhe) School of Pharmacy, United States (Mohammed) College of Health Sciences, United States (Tuem) Mekelle University, Mekelle, Ethiopia (Abera, Asgedom, Atey, Betsu, Hailu, Kahsay, Mezgebe) Food Security and Institute for Biological Chemistry and Nutrition, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany (Aboyans) Dupuytren University Hospital, Limoges, France (Abu-Raddad) Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medical College in Qatar, Doha, Qatar (Abu-Rmeileh) Institute of Community and Public Health, Birzeit University, Ramallah, Palestine (Adedeji) Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, Nigeria (Adetokunboh, Seedat, Wiysonge) Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa (Agrawal) CSIR - Institute of Genomics and Integrative Biology, Delhi, India (Agrawal) Department of Internal Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States (Jeemon) Centre for Control of Chronic Conditions, United States (Murthy) Indian Institute of Public Health, India (Zodpey) Public Health Foundation of India, Gurugram, India (Agrawal, Kiadaliri, Dandona, Dandona, Kumar, Lal, Mathur) Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Orthopedics, Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Lund University, Lund, Sweden (Ahmadieh, Yaseri) Ophthalmic Research Center, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Jahanmehr) School of Public Health, Tehran, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Safi) Ophthalmic Epidemiology Research Center, Tehran, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Ahmadieh) Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Ahmadieh) Department of Ophthalmology, Labbafinejad Medical Center, Tehran, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Aichour) University Ferhat Abbas of Setif, Setif, Algeria (Aichour) National Institute of Nursing Education, Setif, Algeria (Aichour) High National School of Veterinary Medicine, Algiers, Algeria (Akinyemi) University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria (Akinyemi) Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom (Akseer, Bhutta, DeVeber) Centre for Global Child Health, Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, ON, Canada (Akseer) Dalla Lana School of Public Health, Canada (Badawi) Department of Nutritional Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Canada (Al-Aly) University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (Al-Aly) Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, MO, United States (Alam, Azzopardi, Weintraub) Murdoch Childrens Research Institute, Australia (Azzopardi, Patton) Department of Paediatrics, Australia (Lopez) Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, Australia (Meretoja) Department of Medicine, Australia (Szoeke) Institute of Health and Ageing, Australia (Alam, Mackay, Rahman, Weintraub, Wijeratne) University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (Driscoll) Sydney School of Public Health, Australia (Marks) Woolcock Institute of Medical Research, Australia (Alam, Leigh) University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia (Alam) Department of Health, Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia (Alasfoor) Ministry of Health, Al Khuwair, Oman (Alene) Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Public Health, Australia (Tessema) University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia (Alene) Department of Global Health, Research School of Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia (Alizadeh-Navaei) Gastrointestinal Cancer Research Center, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Alkerwi) Luxembourg Institute of Health, Strassen, Luxembourg (Alla) School of Public Health, University of Lorraine, Nancy, France (Allebeck, El-Khatib) Department of Public Health Sciences, Sweden (Carrero, Weiderpass) Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Sweden (Fereshtehnejad) Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society (NVS), Sweden (Havmoeller) Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (Al-Raddadi) Joint Program of Family and Community Medicine, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia (Alsharif) Charite Universitatsmedizin, Berlin, Germany (Altirkawi, Sobaih) King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Alvis-Guzman) Universidad de Cartagena, Cartagena de Indias, Colombia (Amare, Baune) School of Medicine, United States (Olagunju) Discipline of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, United States (Tessema) University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia (Amare) College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (Amini, Pishgar) Uro-Oncology Research Center, United States (Amini, Ebrahimi, Farzadfar, Khosravi, Pishgar) Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, United States (Esteghamati, Hafezi-Nejad, Kasaeian) Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, United States (Hassanvand) Center for Air Pollution Research, Institute for Environmental Research, United States (Kasaeian) Hematology-Oncology and Stem Cell Transplantation Research Center, United States (Majdzadeh) Knowledge Utilization Research Center and Community Based Participatory Research Center, United States (Ebrahimi) Liver and Pancreaticobiliary Diseases Research Center, United States (Malekzadeh, Roshandel, Sepanlou) Digestive Diseases Research Institute, United States (Rahimi-Movaghar, Safdarian) Sina Trauma and Surgery Research Center, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Shamsipour) Institute for Environmental Research, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Shirkoohi) Cancer Research Center, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Rokni, Yaseri) Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Ammar, Bou-Orm, Harb) Ministry of Public Health, Beirut, Lebanon (Antonio) Department of Health Policy and Administration, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Faraon) College of Public Health, Philippines (Ansari) University of the Philippines Manila, Manila, Philippines (Ansari) Health Promotion Research Center, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Zahedan University of Medical Sciences, Zahedan, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Anwari) Self-employed, Kabul, Afghanistan (Artaman) University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada (Aryal) Nepal Health Research Council, Kathmandu, Nepal (Aryal, Htet) University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway (Asayesh) Department of Medical Emergency, School of Paramedic, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Assadi) Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran, Islamic Republic of (Atre) Centre for Clinical Global Health Education (CCGHE), United States (Tran) Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States (Atre) Dr D y Patil Vidyapeeth Pune, Pune, India (Lozano, Hernandez, Blancas, Servan-Mori, Zavala-Arciniega) National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico (Avila-Burgos, Arthur Avokpaho, Cahuana-Hurtado, Campuzano, Heredia-Pi, Jauregui) Institut de Recherche Clinique du Benin (IRCB), Cotonou, Benin (Arthur Avokpaho) Laboratoire d'Etudes et de Recherche-Action en Sante (LERAS Afrique), Parakou, Benin (Awasthi) Indian Institute of Public Health, Gandhinagar, India (Azzopardi) Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (Azzopardi) Wardliparingga Aboriginal Research Unit, South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, SA, Australia (Bacha) School of Health Sciences, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, Pakistan (Badawi) Public Health Agency of Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada (Balakrishnan) Department of Environmental Health Engineering, Sri Ramachandra University, Chennai, India (Santric Milicevic) Institute of Social Medicine, Centre School of Public Health and Health Management, United States (Barac) Faculty of Medicine, United States (Barker-Collo) University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (Barker-Collo) School of Psychology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand (Barnighausen, Salomon) Department of Global Health and Population, United States (Feigl) Department of Global Health and Population, Boston, MA, United States (Ding) Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States (Barnighausen) Harvard University, Boston, MA, United States (Barnighausen) Africa Health Research Institute, Mtubatuba, South Africa (Barnighausen, Mohammed) Institute of Public Health, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany (Barrero) Department of Industrial Engineering, School of Engineering, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogota, Colombia (Basu) Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States (Battle) Malaria Atlas Project, United Kingdom (Cameron, Hay, Lucas) Oxford Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, United Kingdom (Bennett) Nuffield Department of Population Health, United Kingdom (Cooper) Nuffield Department of Medicine, NIHR Musculoskeletal Biomedical Research Centre, United Kingdom (Gething) Department of Zoology, United Kingdom (Jha, Weiss) University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (Beardsley) Oxford University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam (Bedi) College of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Jazan, Saudi Arabia (Bejot) University Hospital and Medical School of Dijon, University of Burgundy, Dijon, France (Bell, Huang) Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States (Santos) Internal Medicine Department, Brazil (Bensenor, Lotufo) University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil (Berhane) College of Health Sciences, Debre Berhan University, Debre Berhan, Ethiopia (Hoek) Department of Psychiatry, Netherlands (Berhe) University Medical Center Groningen, Netherlands (Van Boven) University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands (Wolfe) Division of Health and Social Care Research, United Kingdom (Bernabe) King's College London, London, United Kingdom (Beuran, Davitoiu, Hostiuc, Negoi, Negoi) Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Bucharest, Romania (Beuran, Negoi) Emergency Hospital of Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania (Beyene, Mengesha) College of Health and Medical Sciences, Romania (Bulto, Geleto, Gishu, Roba, Shiferaw) Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia (Bhala) Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (Bhala) University of Otago Medical School, Wellington, New Zealand (Bhansali) Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India (Bhatt, Furst) Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, United Kingdom (Majeed, Soljak) Department of Primary Care and Public Health, United Kingdom (Foreman, Rawaf, Saxena, Shoman) Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom (Bhutta) Centre of Excellence in Women and Child Health, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan (Beghi, Bikbov, Perico, Remuzzi) IRCCS - Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri, Bergamo, Italy (Bilal) College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia (Deribe) School of Public Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia (Giref, Hareri, Kelbore, Shifa, Woldeyes) Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia (Kivimaki) Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, United Kingdom (Birungi, Bidgoli, Mathur) University College London, London, United Kingdom (Boneya) Department of Public Health, United Kingdom (Bizuayehu, Tegegne, Tiruye) Debre 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[Ovid has truncated this field to avoid Excel character limitations]
Issue Date: 24-Apr-2018
Copyright year: 2017
Publisher: Lancet Publishing Group (E-mail: cususerv@lancet.com)
Place of publication: United Kingdom
Publication information: The Lancet. 390 (10100) (pp 1423-1459), 2017. Date of Publication: 16 Sep 2017.
Journal: The Lancet
Abstract: Background: The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990-2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030. Method(s): We used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the 25th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 975th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment. Findings Globally, the median health-related SDG index was 567 (IQR 319-668) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (868, 95% uncertainty interval 846-889), Iceland (860, 841-876), and Sweden (856, 818-878) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (109, 96-119), the Central African Republic (110, 88-138), and Somalia (113, 95-131) recording the lowest. Between 2000 and 2016, notable improvements in the UHC index were achieved by several countries, including Cambodia, Rwanda, Equatorial Guinea, Laos, Turkey, and China; however, a number of countries, such as Lesotho and the Central African Republic, but also high-income countries, such as the USA, showed minimal gains. Based on projections of past trends, the median number of SDG targets attained in 2030 was five (IQR 2-8) of the 24 defined targets currently measured. Globally, projected target attainment considerably varied by SDG indicator, ranging from more than 60% of countries projected to reach targets for under-5 mortality, neonatal mortality, maternal mortality ratio, and malaria, to less than 5% of countries projected to achieve targets linked to 11 indicator targets, including those for childhood overweight, tuberculosis, and road injury mortality. For several of the health-related SDGs, meeting defined targets hinges upon substantially faster progress than what most countries have achieved in the past. Interpretation GBD 2016 provides an updated and expanded evidence base on where the world currently stands in terms of the health-related SDGs. Our improved measure of UHC offers a basis to monitor the expansion of health services necessary to meet the SDGs. Based on past rates of progress, many places are facing challenges in meeting defined health-related SDG targets, particularly among countries that are the worst off. In view of the early stages of SDG implementation, however, opportunity remains to take actions to accelerate progress, as shown by the catalytic effects of adopting the Millennium Development Goals after 2000. With the SDGs' broader, bolder development agenda, multisectoral commitments and investments are vital to make the health-related SDGs within reach of all populations.Copyright © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
DOI: http://monash.idm.oclc.org/login?url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736%2817%2932336-X
PubMed URL: 28916366 [http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/?term=28916366]
ISSN: 0140-6736
URI: https://repository.monashhealth.org/monashhealthjspui/handle/1/27384
Type: Article
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